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Prediction markets

13 active markets · category “Science”

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Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

8%

chance

YesNo
$111KVol. Mar 31science
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

1
23%YesNo
2
70%YesNo
$2.96MVol. Dec 31science
How far ahead of Google’s quantum benchmark will ECDSA.fail get by June 30?

How far ahead of Google’s quantum benchmark will ECDSA.fail get by June 30?

99%

chance

YesNo
$7.5KVol. Jun 30science
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

4%

chance

YesNo
$645KVol. Dec 31science
Precipitation in Seattle in June?

Precipitation in Seattle in June?

1.5-2"
1.5-2"52%
>3"
>3"34%5 more
$5.4KVol. Jun 30science
Precipitation in London in June?

Precipitation in London in June?

70-80mm
70-80mm41%
80mm+
80mm+38%5 more
$4.2KVol. Jun 30science
Natural Disaster in 2026?

Natural Disaster in 2026?

25%

chance

YesNo
$224KVol. Dec 31science
How many Tornadoes in the US in June?

How many Tornadoes in the US in June?

220–249
220–24950%
160–189
160–18939%7 more
$5.8KVol. Jul 8science
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

3%

chance

YesNo
$110KVol. Dec 31science
July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

>1.29ºC42%
1.15–1.19ºC41%4 more
$414.43Vol. Aug 1science
Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?

Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?

32%

chance

YesNo
$1.8KVol. Dec 31science
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?

Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?

8%

chance

YesNo
$12KVol. Dec 31science