Polymarket
How it works
Log In
Sign Up
Prediction markets
17 active markets
· category “Business”
How it works
How to trade
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps)
81%
1 (25 bps)
14%
11 more
$37.1M
Vol.
Dec 31
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$31
75 trading now
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
SpaceX
87%
xAI
26%
72 more
$2.52M
Vol.
Dec 31
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$29
50 trading now
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
1%
chance
Yes
No
$3.60M
Vol.
Jun 30
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
58 trading now
AI bubble burst by...?
December 31, 2026
21%
March 31, 2026
1%
1 more
$2.89M
Vol.
Dec 31
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$122
62 trading now
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?
8%
chance
Yes
No
$77K
Vol.
Jan 1
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
57 trading now
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
43%
chance
Yes
No
$118K
Vol.
Dec 31
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$58
45 trading now
Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?
iRobot
99%
Workhorse
49%
13 more
$196K
Vol.
Dec 31
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
51 trading now
Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by June 30?
CME
99%
LedgerX
99%
7 more
$122K
Vol.
Jun 30
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
55 trading now
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?
Google
45%
OpenAI
31%
12 more
$41K
Vol.
Dec 31
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$56
41 trading now
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?
25%
chance
Yes
No
$54K
Vol.
Dec 31
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$100
54 trading now
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
10%
chance
Yes
No
$109K
Vol.
Dec 31
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$263
52 trading now
How many Tesla deliveries in Q2 2026?
450k–475k
51%
425k–450k
23%
7 more
$77K
Vol.
Jun 30
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$49
46 trading now
Markets
Search
Activity
More
