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Prediction markets

26 active markets · category “AI”

How to trade
Claude 4.8 released by...?

Claude 4.8 released by...?

May 31
May 3199%
June 15
June 1599%2 more
$680KVol. Jul 31ai
Gemini 3.2 released by...?

Gemini 3.2 released by...?

99%

chance

YesNo
$650KVol. Jun 30ai
Largest Company end of June?

Largest Company end of June?

NVIDIA
NVIDIA99%
Microsoft
Microsoft1%26 more
$23.0MVol. Jun 30ai
Claude Mythos: Text Arena Debut?

Claude Mythos: Text Arena Debut?

1490+
1490+99%
1480+
1480+99%2 more
$37KVol. Dec 31ai
When will GPT-5.6 be released?

When will GPT-5.6 be released?

June 22–June 28
June 22–June 2871%
Not released by June 28
Not released by June 2830%6 more
$318KVol. Jun 28ai
Next xAI Model: Arena Debut?

Next xAI Model: Arena Debut?

1480+
1480+1%
1440+
1440+1%1 more
$65KVol. Dec 31ai
GPT-5.6 released by...?

GPT-5.6 released by...?

July 31
July 3197%
June 30
June 3073%1 more
$1.04MVol. Jul 31ai
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

No IPO by June 30, 2026
No IPO by June 30, 202699%
600B+
600B+1%5 more
$1.70MVol. Jun 30ai
Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?

Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?

1510
36%YesNo
1520
20%YesNo
$41KVol. Sep 30ai
# of ChatGPT Outage Days in June 2026?

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in June 2026?

<2
1%YesNo
2
4%YesNo
$17KVol. Jun 30ai
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

July 3197%
June 3076%4 more
$80KVol. Jul 31ai
New Gemini reasoning flagship released by...?

New Gemini reasoning flagship released by...?

75%

chance

YesNo
$311KVol. Jun 30ai